Here is a stick, beat me with it later. Many pundits, charlatans and so-called-psychics make vague and untestable prognistications, and escape all consequences of their failure to be correct simply though passage of time. They are often helped by the tendancy of the human mind to be good at correlating things that happen with information, and very much less good at correlating things that fail to happen with anything at all. So, I’m inviting you to make a bookmark on this post, and set a diary reminder for about five years time. That way you can come back and tell me how badly I missed the mark with my forecasts. The things that I think are going to be really huge (as in: they will generate businesses worth over $1bn, at least 1 IPO at over $1bn or profits of over $200m a year) are:   more »